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Vol. 2 (1999 year), No. 2

Kachala V.V.
Systematic approach of economic parameters forecasting

The paper has been devoted to the problem of the enterprise inspection before introducing of an information control system (ICS). This inspection may be named preliminary. The purposes, tasks and stages of preliminary inspection have been considered. One of the major tasks of the preliminary inspection is to state necessity of ICS introducing at the enterprise. For this purpose it is offered to consider and to compare management models from the points of view of the enterprise managers (the model "as it would be necessary to operate") and models of the existing control system (the model "as it is").

(in Russian, стр.10, fig. 2, tables. 0, ref 20, MS Word 95, MS Word 95 28 Kb)

Vol. 4 (2001 year), No. 2

Kachala V.V.
System approach to economic parameters' forecasting

The forecasting of the economic objects functioning parameters has been considered in the paper. While choosing a forecasting method the author proposes to base on the results of a system analysis. In particular, the external and internal reasons of the forecasting parameter changes have been analyzed. Basic of them are: change of the input variables (disturbing and managing), change of the uncontrollable variables (noises), the dynamic, time dependent and teleological properties of the object.

(in Russian, стр.4, fig. 2, tables. 0, ref 3, MS Word 95, MS Word 95 46 Kb)